Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was Ludogorets 3-2 Celta de Vigo. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Petar Stanic put the first mark on the match 11', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Celta de Vigo led Total shots 7-19, even though the scoreboard went another way. Celta de Vigo also shaded Corners 1-7.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Celta de Vigo the favourite at 54.2% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Celta de Vigo

54.2%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Total shots

Celta de Vigo

Ludogorets

Celta de Vigo

7

19

Corners

Celta de Vigo

Ludogorets

Celta de Vigo

1

7

Shots on target

Celta de Vigo

Ludogorets

Celta de Vigo

4

7