LOSC Lille
LOSC Lille won after full-time.
3 - 0
FT
Lens
Postmatch editorial
One side of the split call landed for LOSC Lille
The final score was LOSC Lille 3-0 Lens. The model and the market were not perfectly aligned, but one side of that divide ended up cashing out.
Hákon Arnar Haraldsson put the first mark on the match 44', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: LOSC Lille led Shots on target 7-1. LOSC Lille also shaded Total shots 13-5.
Before kickoff, our model made Lens the likeliest result at 38.0%, while the median bookmaker line priced Lens at 40.5% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned Yes (56.8%), and that angle missed.
Prediction checks
Model result
Lens
38.0%
Market result
Lens
40.5%
BTTS
Yes
56.8%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
LOSC LilleLOSC Lille
Lens
7
1
Total shots
LOSC LilleLOSC Lille
Lens
13
5
Possession
LOSC LilleLOSC Lille
Lens
56%
44%
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.