Postmatch editorial

ADC Juan Pablo II upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Los Chankas 3-4 ADC Juan Pablo II. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Álvaro Rojas Quesada scored 89' for ADC Juan Pablo II.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Los Chankas led Corners 4-2, even though the scoreboard went another way. Los Chankas also shaded Possession 55%-45%.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Los Chankas the favourite at 54.8% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Los Chankas

54.8%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

Los Chankas

Los Chankas

ADC Juan Pablo II

4

2

Possession

Los Chankas

Los Chankas

ADC Juan Pablo II

55%

45%

Total shots

ADC Juan Pablo II

Los Chankas

ADC Juan Pablo II

18

19