Postmatch editorial
Lorca flipped the prices on their head
The final score was Lorca 2-1 Numancia. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
Carlos Gutiérrez put the first mark on the match 45', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Numancia led Shots on target 5-6, even though the scoreboard went another way. Lorca also shaded Total shots 11-9.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Numancia the favourite at 46.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Numancia
46.5%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
NumanciaLorca
Numancia
5
6
Total shots
LorcaLorca
Numancia
11
9
Possession
NumanciaLorca
Numancia
45%
55%