Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was Long Melford 0-4 Kirkley & Pakefield. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Kirkley & Pakefield scored 90+3' for Kirkley & Pakefield.

The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Kirkley & Pakefield led Shots on target 3-8. Kirkley & Pakefield also shaded Corners 1-6.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Long Melford the favourite at 44.4% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Long Melford

44.4%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Kirkley & Pakefield

Long Melford

Kirkley & Pakefield

3

8

Corners

Kirkley & Pakefield

Long Melford

Kirkley & Pakefield

1

6

Possession

Kirkley & Pakefield

Long Melford

Kirkley & Pakefield

44%

56%