Postmatch editorial
The scoreboard moved against the market favourite
The final score was Lleida Esportiu 1-3 Barakaldo. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
The decisive turn arrived late when Pablo Santiago scored 82' for Barakaldo.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Barakaldo led Shots on target 2-9. Barakaldo also shaded Total shots 7-16.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Lleida Esportiu the favourite at 37.7% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Lleida Esportiu
37.7%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
BarakaldoLleida Esportiu
Barakaldo
2
9
Total shots
BarakaldoLleida Esportiu
Barakaldo
7
16
Corners
BarakaldoLleida Esportiu
Barakaldo
4
10