Liverpool
Liverpool won after full-time.
5 - 2
FT
West Ham United
Postmatch editorial
Liverpool turned the pre-match edge into points
The final score was Liverpool 5-2 West Ham United. The strongest pre-match signals were already leaning toward that outcome.
The decisive turn arrived late when Axel Disasi scored 82' for Liverpool.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Liverpool led Shots on target 7-4. Liverpool also shaded Total shots 18-11.
Before kickoff, our model made Liverpool the likeliest result at 69.9%, while the median bookmaker line priced Liverpool at 71.4% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned Yes (50.9%), and that angle landed.
Prediction checks
Model result
Liverpool
69.9%
Market result
Liverpool
71.4%
BTTS
Yes
50.9%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
LiverpoolLiverpool
West Ham United
7
4
Total shots
LiverpoolLiverpool
West Ham United
18
11
Corners
LiverpoolLiverpool
West Ham United
10
5
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.