Postmatch editorial

Portsmouth flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Lincoln City 1-3 Portsmouth. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Ryan Kavuma-McQueen put the first mark on the match 7', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Portsmouth led Shots on target 4-7. Lincoln City also shaded Corners 8-3.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Lincoln City the favourite at 43.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Lincoln City

43.5%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Portsmouth

Lincoln City

Portsmouth

4

7

Corners

Lincoln City

Lincoln City

Portsmouth

8

3

Possession

Portsmouth

Lincoln City

Portsmouth

39%

61%