Postmatch editorial

Linares Deportivo flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Linares Deportivo 1-0 Racing Santander. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Samuel Corral scored 90+2' for Linares Deportivo.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Racing Santander led Corners 3-6, even though the scoreboard went another way. Racing Santander also shaded Total shots 11-14.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Racing Santander the favourite at 43.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Racing Santander

43.5%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

Racing Santander

Linares Deportivo

Racing Santander

3

6

Total shots

Racing Santander

Linares Deportivo

Racing Santander

11

14

Shots on target

Linares Deportivo

Linares Deportivo

Racing Santander

6

5