Postmatch editorial
Leeds United upset the pre-match prices
The final score was Leeds United 1-0 Brighton & Hove Albion. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
The decisive turn arrived late when Dominic Calvert-Lewin scored 90+6' for Leeds United.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Brighton & Hove Albion led Shots on target 1-8, even though the scoreboard went another way. Brighton & Hove Albion also shaded Total shots 7-19.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Brighton & Hove Albion the favourite at 48.8% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Brighton & Hove Albion
48.8%
Match numbers
Shots on target
Brighton & Hove AlbionLeeds United
Brighton & Hove Albion
1
8
Total shots
Brighton & Hove AlbionLeeds United
Brighton & Hove Albion
7
19
Possession
Brighton & Hove AlbionLeeds United
Brighton & Hove Albion
34%
66%