Postmatch editorial

Leeds United upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Leeds United 1-0 Brighton & Hove Albion. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Dominic Calvert-Lewin scored 90+6' for Leeds United.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Brighton & Hove Albion led Shots on target 1-8, even though the scoreboard went another way. Brighton & Hove Albion also shaded Total shots 7-19.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Brighton & Hove Albion the favourite at 48.8% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Brighton & Hove Albion

48.8%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Brighton & Hove Albion

Leeds United

Brighton & Hove Albion

1

8

Total shots

Brighton & Hove Albion

Leeds United

Brighton & Hove Albion

7

19

Possession

Brighton & Hove Albion

Leeds United

Brighton & Hove Albion

34%

66%