Le Havre
Paris Saint Germain won after full-time.
0 - 1
FT
Paris Saint Germain
Postmatch editorial
Paris Saint Germain made the numbers look right
The final score was Le Havre 0-1 Paris Saint Germain. The strongest pre-match signals were already leaning toward that outcome.
The decisive turn arrived late when Désiré Doué scored 79' for Paris Saint Germain.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Paris Saint Germain led Shots on target 2-9. Paris Saint Germain also shaded Total shots 10-22.
Before kickoff, our model made Paris Saint Germain the likeliest result at 68.5%, while the median bookmaker line priced Paris Saint Germain at 76.9% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned No (52.8%), and that angle landed.
Prediction checks
Model result
Paris Saint Germain
68.5%
Market result
Paris Saint Germain
76.9%
BTTS
No
52.8%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
Paris Saint GermainLe Havre
Paris Saint Germain
2
9
Total shots
Paris Saint GermainLe Havre
Paris Saint Germain
10
22
Possession
Paris Saint GermainLe Havre
Paris Saint Germain
32%
68%
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.