Le Havre
Olympique Marseille won after full-time.
0 - 1
FT
Olympique Marseille
Postmatch editorial
Olympique Marseille turned the pre-match edge into points
The final score was Le Havre 0-1 Olympique Marseille. The strongest pre-match signals were already leaning toward that outcome.
Mason Greenwood put the first mark on the match 55', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Le Havre led Corners 3-0, even though the scoreboard went another way. Olympique Marseille also shaded Shots on target 2-3.
Before kickoff, our model made Olympique Marseille the likeliest result at 50.2%, while the median bookmaker line priced Olympique Marseille at 51.7% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned Yes (59.2%), and that angle missed.
Prediction checks
Model result
Olympique Marseille
50.2%
Market result
Olympique Marseille
51.7%
BTTS
Yes
59.2%
Key stats
Match numbers
Corners
Le HavreLe Havre
Olympique Marseille
3
0
Shots on target
Olympique MarseilleLe Havre
Olympique Marseille
2
3
Total shots
Le HavreLe Havre
Olympique Marseille
10
8
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.