Postmatch editorial
Mantova flipped the prices on their head
The final score was Lazio 0-2 Mantova. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
The decisive turn arrived late when Ismael Cajazzo scored 90+6' for Mantova.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Mantova led Shots on target 3-7. Lazio also shaded Possession 70%-30%.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Lazio the favourite at 79.4% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Lazio
79.4%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
MantovaLazio
Mantova
3
7
Possession
LazioLazio
Mantova
70%
30%
Total shots
LazioLazio
Mantova
21
12