Postmatch editorial

Las Palmas flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Las Palmas 1-0 Atlético de Madrid. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Javi Muñoz scored 90+3' for Las Palmas.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Atlético de Madrid led Possession 41%-59%, even though the scoreboard went another way. Las Palmas also shaded Total shots 8-7.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Atlético de Madrid the favourite at 61.7% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Atlético de Madrid

61.7%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Possession

Atlético de Madrid

Las Palmas

Atlético de Madrid

41%

59%

Total shots

Las Palmas

Las Palmas

Atlético de Madrid

8

7

Shots on target

Las Palmas

Atlético de Madrid

2

2