Postmatch editorial

Dender flipped the prices on their head

The final score was La Louvière 0-1 Dender. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Alireza Jahanbakhsh put the first mark on the match 68', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: La Louvière led Total shots 21-7, even though the scoreboard went another way. La Louvière also shaded Shots on target 4-3.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made La Louvière the favourite at 52.6% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

La Louvière

52.6%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Total shots

La Louvière

La Louvière

Dender

21

7

Shots on target

La Louvière

La Louvière

Dender

4

3

Corners

La Louvière

La Louvière

Dender

4

3