Postmatch editorial
The prices said close and the pitch agreed
The final score was Kyrgyz Republic 1-1 United Arab Emirates. The draw was not the loudest pre-match angle, but the game never fully escaped its balance.
The late equaliser came from Kai Merk 90+5', which kept the game level at the finish.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Kyrgyz Republic led Shots on target 4-2, even though the scoreboard went another way. Kyrgyz Republic also shaded Total shots 10-5.
Before kickoff, our model made No clear call the likeliest result at n/a, while the median bookmaker line priced United Arab Emirates at 57.8% implied.
Prediction checks
Market result
United Arab Emirates
57.8%
Match numbers
Shots on target
Kyrgyz RepublicKyrgyz Republic
United Arab Emirates
4
2
Total shots
Kyrgyz RepublicKyrgyz Republic
United Arab Emirates
10
5
Corners
Kyrgyz RepublicKyrgyz Republic
United Arab Emirates
4
2
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.