Kyrgyz Republic
Iran won after full-time.
2 - 3
FT
Iran
Postmatch editorial
One side of the split call landed for Iran
The final score was Kyrgyz Republic 2-3 Iran. The model and the market were not perfectly aligned, but one side of that divide ended up cashing out.
The decisive turn arrived late when Sardar Azmoun scored 76' for Iran.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Iran led Shots on target 3-5. Iran also shaded Total shots 8-14.
Before kickoff, our model made No clear call the likeliest result at n/a, while the median bookmaker line priced Iran at 82.0% implied.
Prediction checks
Market result
Iran
82.0%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
IranKyrgyz Republic
Iran
3
5
Total shots
IranKyrgyz Republic
Iran
8
14
Possession
IranKyrgyz Republic
Iran
39%
61%
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.