Kuwait
Palestine won after full-time.
0 - 2
FT
Palestine
Postmatch editorial
Palestine found the margin in a finely priced match
The final score was Kuwait 0-2 Palestine. The model and the market were not perfectly aligned, but one side of that divide ended up cashing out.
The decisive turn arrived late when Wessam Abou Ali scored 88' for Palestine.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Palestine led Shots on target 2-6. Palestine also shaded Total shots 7-15.
Before kickoff, our model made No clear call the likeliest result at n/a, while the median bookmaker line priced Palestine at 48.8% implied.
Prediction checks
Market result
Palestine
48.8%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
PalestineKuwait
Palestine
2
6
Total shots
PalestineKuwait
Palestine
7
15
Possession
KuwaitKuwait
Palestine
66%
34%
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.