Postmatch editorial

Vardar flipped the prices on their head

The final score was KuPS 2-3 Vardar after penalties. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Azer Omeragić  put the first mark on the match 59', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: KuPS led Corners 12-6, even though the scoreboard went another way. Vardar also shaded Shots on target 4-5.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made KuPS the favourite at 65.4% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

KuPS

65.4%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

KuPS

KuPS

Vardar

12

6

Shots on target

Vardar

KuPS

Vardar

4

5

Total shots

KuPS

KuPS

Vardar

14

11