Postmatch editorial
Dinamo Zagreb flipped the prices on their head
The final score was Krasnodar 2-3 Dinamo Zagreb. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
The decisive turn arrived late when Iyayi Atiemwen scored 75' for Dinamo Zagreb.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Dinamo Zagreb led Shots on target 5-9. Krasnodar also shaded Possession 66%-34%.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Krasnodar the favourite at 43.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Krasnodar
43.5%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
Dinamo ZagrebKrasnodar
Dinamo Zagreb
5
9
Possession
KrasnodarKrasnodar
Dinamo Zagreb
66%
34%
Total shots
Dinamo ZagrebKrasnodar
Dinamo Zagreb
11
17