Korea DPR
Uzbekistan won after full-time.
0 - 1
FT
Uzbekistan
Postmatch editorial
Uzbekistan settled a divided pre-match read
The final score was Korea DPR 0-1 Uzbekistan. The model and the market were not perfectly aligned, but one side of that divide ended up cashing out.
Abbosbek Fayzullaev put the first mark on the match 44', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Korea DPR led Possession 59%-41%, even though the scoreboard went another way. Uzbekistan also shaded Total shots 15-16.
Before kickoff, our model made No clear call the likeliest result at n/a, while the median bookmaker line priced Uzbekistan at 57.8% implied.
Prediction checks
Market result
Uzbekistan
57.8%
Key stats
Match numbers
Possession
Korea DPRKorea DPR
Uzbekistan
59%
41%
Total shots
UzbekistanKorea DPR
Uzbekistan
15
16
Shots on target
Korea DPR
Uzbekistan
2
2
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.