Postmatch editorial
The prices said close and the pitch agreed
The final score was Korea DPR 2-2 Kyrgyz Republic. The draw was not the loudest pre-match angle, but the game never fully escaped its balance.
The late equaliser came from Kim Sung-Hye 90+5', which kept the game level at the finish.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Korea DPR led Shots on target 5-3, even though the scoreboard went another way. Kyrgyz Republic also shaded Total shots 10-14.
Before kickoff, our model made No clear call the likeliest result at n/a, while the median bookmaker line priced Kyrgyz Republic at 38.2% implied.
Prediction checks
Market result
Kyrgyz Republic
38.2%
Match numbers
Shots on target
Korea DPRKorea DPR
Kyrgyz Republic
5
3
Total shots
Kyrgyz RepublicKorea DPR
Kyrgyz Republic
10
14
Corners
Korea DPRKorea DPR
Kyrgyz Republic
3
2
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.