Korea DPR
Iran won after full-time.
2 - 3
FT
Iran
Postmatch editorial
Iran found the margin in a finely priced match
The final score was Korea DPR 2-3 Iran. The model and the market were not perfectly aligned, but one side of that divide ended up cashing out.
Mehdi Ghayedi put the first mark on the match 29', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Iran led Shots on target 4-13. Korea DPR also shaded Corners 3-2.
Before kickoff, our model made No clear call the likeliest result at n/a, while the median bookmaker line priced Iran at 75.5% implied.
Prediction checks
Market result
Iran
75.5%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
IranKorea DPR
Iran
4
13
Corners
Korea DPRKorea DPR
Iran
3
2
Total shots
IranKorea DPR
Iran
17
19
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.