Postmatch editorial

NSÍ flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Koper 1-3 NSÍ after extra time. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Koper struck first through Josip Ilicic 2', but NSÍ recovered and flipped the match.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Koper led Total shots 33-12, even though the scoreboard went another way. Koper also shaded Shots on target 10-6.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Koper the favourite at 73.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Koper

73.5%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Total shots

Koper

Koper

NSÍ

33

12

Shots on target

Koper

Koper

NSÍ

10

6

Possession

Koper

Koper

NSÍ

63%

37%