Postmatch editorial
Guiseley upset the pre-match prices
The final score was Kidderminster Harriers 0-1 Guiseley. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
The decisive turn arrived late when William Longbottom scored 84' for Guiseley.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Kidderminster Harriers led Corners 2-0, even though the scoreboard went another way. Kidderminster Harriers also shaded Total shots 12-6.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Kidderminster Harriers the favourite at 62.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Kidderminster Harriers
62.5%
Key stats
Match numbers
Corners
Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster Harriers
Guiseley
2
0
Total shots
Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster Harriers
Guiseley
12
6
Possession
Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster Harriers
Guiseley
67%
33%