Postmatch editorial

Kauno Žalgiris upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Kauno Žalgiris 1-0 Beşiktaş. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Renan Oliveira put the first mark on the match 64', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Beşiktaş led Shots on target 2-4, even though the scoreboard went another way. Beşiktaş also shaded Possession 29%-71%.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Beşiktaş the favourite at 75.2% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Beşiktaş

75.2%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Beşiktaş

Kauno Žalgiris

Beşiktaş

2

4

Possession

Beşiktaş

Kauno Žalgiris

Beşiktaş

29%

71%

Corners

Beşiktaş

Kauno Žalgiris

Beşiktaş

2

5