Postmatch editorial

KAS Eupen upset the pre-match prices

The final score was KAS Eupen 1-0 Sint-Truiden. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Renaud Emond put the first mark on the match 10', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Sint-Truiden led Shots on target 2-4, even though the scoreboard went another way. Sint-Truiden also shaded Total shots 7-17.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Sint-Truiden the favourite at 40.8% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Sint-Truiden

40.8%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Sint-Truiden

KAS Eupen

Sint-Truiden

2

4

Total shots

Sint-Truiden

KAS Eupen

Sint-Truiden

7

17

Possession

Sint-Truiden

KAS Eupen

Sint-Truiden

32%

68%