Postmatch editorial

VfL Bochum 1848 flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Karlsruher SC 1-2 VfL Bochum 1848. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Kjell Wätjen put the first mark on the match 4', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Karlsruher SC led Corners 11-2, even though the scoreboard went another way. Karlsruher SC also shaded Shots on target 6-4.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Karlsruher SC the favourite at 40.8% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Karlsruher SC

40.8%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

Karlsruher SC

Karlsruher SC

VfL Bochum 1848

11

2

Shots on target

Karlsruher SC

Karlsruher SC

VfL Bochum 1848

6

4

Possession

Karlsruher SC

Karlsruher SC

VfL Bochum 1848

61%

39%