Juventus
Juventus won after full-time.
2 - 0
FT
Genoa
Postmatch editorial
Juventus turned the pre-match edge into points
The final score was Juventus 2-0 Genoa. The strongest pre-match signals were already leaning toward that outcome.
Bremer put the first mark on the match 4', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Juventus led Shots on target 5-3. Juventus also shaded Possession 62%-38%.
Before kickoff, our model made Juventus the likeliest result at 69.0%, while the median bookmaker line priced Juventus at 71.7% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned No (61.4%), and that angle landed.
Prediction checks
Model result
Juventus
69.0%
Market result
Juventus
71.7%
BTTS
No
61.4%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
JuventusJuventus
Genoa
5
3
Possession
JuventusJuventus
Genoa
62%
38%
Total shots
JuventusJuventus
Genoa
16
12
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.