Postmatch editorial

Fiorentina flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Juventus 0-2 Fiorentina. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Rolando Mandragora scored 83' for Fiorentina.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Juventus led Shots on target 9-4, even though the scoreboard went another way. Juventus also shaded Total shots 26-10.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Juventus the favourite at 76.3% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Juventus

76.3%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Juventus

Juventus

Fiorentina

9

4

Total shots

Juventus

Juventus

Fiorentina

26

10

Corners

Juventus

Juventus

Fiorentina

6

2