Postmatch editorial

One side of the split call landed for Jordan

The final score was Jordan 3-1 Palestine. The model and the market were not perfectly aligned, but one side of that divide ended up cashing out.

Yazan Alarab put the first mark on the match 3', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Jordan led Shots on target 5-3. Palestine also shaded Corners 3-6.

Before kickoff, our model made No clear call the likeliest result at n/a, while the median bookmaker line priced Jordan at 62.1% implied.

Prediction checks

Market result

Jordan

62.1%

Hit
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Jordan

Jordan

Palestine

5

3

Corners

Palestine

Jordan

Palestine

3

6

Total shots

Palestine

Jordan

Palestine

10

11

Value angle

No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.