Postmatch editorial
Iraq flipped the prices on their head
The final score was Jordan 0-1 Iraq. It landed away from the main pre-match lean and counts as a genuine twist in the numbers.
The decisive turn arrived late when Sajad Jassim scored 77' for Iraq.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Iraq led Shots on target 0-4. Iraq also shaded Possession 41%-59%.
Before kickoff, our model made No clear call the likeliest result at n/a, while the median bookmaker line priced Jordan at 45.5% implied.
Prediction checks
Market result
Jordan
45.5%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
IraqJordan
Iraq
0
4
Possession
IraqJordan
Iraq
41%
59%
Total shots
JordanJordan
Iraq
9
7
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.