Postmatch editorial

Jahn Regensburg flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Jahn Regensburg 2-1 Nürnberg. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Nürnberg struck first through Janis Antiste 11', but Jahn Regensburg recovered and flipped the match.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Nürnberg led Possession 35%-65%, even though the scoreboard went another way. Nürnberg also shaded Total shots 8-13.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Nürnberg the favourite at 49.0% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Nürnberg

49.0%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Possession

Nürnberg

Jahn Regensburg

Nürnberg

35%

65%

Total shots

Nürnberg

Jahn Regensburg

Nürnberg

8

13

Corners

Nürnberg

Jahn Regensburg

Nürnberg

3

6