Postmatch editorial

Korea Republic settled a divided pre-match read

The final score was Iraq 0-2 Korea Republic. The model and the market were not perfectly aligned, but one side of that divide ended up cashing out.

The decisive turn arrived late when Hyeon-gyu Oh scored 82' for Korea Republic.

The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Korea Republic led Shots on target 2-7. Korea Republic also shaded Corners 1-10.

Before kickoff, our model made No clear call the likeliest result at n/a, while the median bookmaker line priced Korea Republic at 47.6% implied.

Prediction checks

Market result

Korea Republic

47.6%

Hit
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Korea Republic

Iraq

Korea Republic

2

7

Corners

Korea Republic

Iraq

Korea Republic

1

10

Possession

Korea Republic

Iraq

Korea Republic

24%

76%

Value angle

No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.