Iran
Iran won after full-time.
3 - 0
FT
Korea DPR
Postmatch editorial
Iran settled a divided pre-match read
The final score was Iran 3-0 Korea DPR. The model and the market were not perfectly aligned, but one side of that divide ended up cashing out.
The decisive turn arrived late when Amirhossein Hosseinzadeh scored 90+3' for Iran.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Iran led Shots on target 8-1. Iran also shaded Total shots 25-8.
Before kickoff, our model made No clear call the likeliest result at n/a, while the median bookmaker line priced Iran at 84.7% implied.
Prediction checks
Market result
Iran
84.7%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
IranIran
Korea DPR
8
1
Total shots
IranIran
Korea DPR
25
8
Possession
IranIran
Korea DPR
69%
31%
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.