Postmatch editorial

Inter Club d'Escaldes flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Inter Club d'Escaldes 5-1 Velez. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Sascha Andreu scored 90+2' for Inter Club d'Escaldes.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Velez led Corners 3-5, even though the scoreboard went another way. Inter Club d'Escaldes also shaded Shots on target 6-5.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Velez the favourite at 42.6% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Velez

42.6%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

Velez

Inter Club d'Escaldes

Velez

3

5

Shots on target

Inter Club d'Escaldes

Inter Club d'Escaldes

Velez

6

5

Possession

Velez

Inter Club d'Escaldes

Velez

49%

51%