Indonesia
Japan won after full-time.
0 - 4
FT
Japan
Postmatch editorial
Japan settled a divided pre-match read
The final score was Indonesia 0-4 Japan. The model and the market were not perfectly aligned, but one side of that divide ended up cashing out.
Justin Hubner put the first mark on the match 35', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Japan led Shots on target 3-7. Japan also shaded Possession 34%-66%.
Before kickoff, our model made No clear call the likeliest result at n/a, while the median bookmaker line priced Japan at 82.0% implied.
Prediction checks
Market result
Japan
82.0%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
JapanIndonesia
Japan
3
7
Possession
JapanIndonesia
Japan
34%
66%
Total shots
JapanIndonesia
Japan
8
12
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.