Indonesia
Indonesia won after full-time.
1 - 0
FT
China PR
Postmatch editorial
One side of the split call landed for Indonesia
The final score was Indonesia 1-0 China PR. The model and the market were not perfectly aligned, but one side of that divide ended up cashing out.
Ole Romeny put the first mark on the match 45', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Indonesia led Shots on target 3-1. Indonesia also shaded Total shots 13-5.
Before kickoff, our model made No clear call the likeliest result at n/a, while the median bookmaker line priced Indonesia at 58.5% implied.
Prediction checks
Market result
Indonesia
58.5%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
IndonesiaIndonesia
China PR
3
1
Total shots
IndonesiaIndonesia
China PR
13
5
Corners
China PRIndonesia
China PR
3
5
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.