Indonesia
Indonesia won after full-time.
1 - 0
FT
Bahrain
Postmatch editorial
Indonesia settled a divided pre-match read
The final score was Indonesia 1-0 Bahrain. The model and the market were not perfectly aligned, but one side of that divide ended up cashing out.
Ole Romeny put the first mark on the match 24', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Indonesia led Shots on target 3-1. Bahrain also shaded Possession 42%-58%.
Before kickoff, our model made No clear call the likeliest result at n/a, while the median bookmaker line priced Indonesia at 50.0% implied.
Prediction checks
Market result
Indonesia
50.0%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
IndonesiaIndonesia
Bahrain
3
1
Possession
BahrainIndonesia
Bahrain
42%
58%
Corners
IndonesiaIndonesia
Bahrain
4
3
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.