Postmatch editorial

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Independiente 0-3 Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Esteban Fernández put the first mark on the match 42', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Independiente led Corners 7-4, even though the scoreboard went another way. Independiente also shaded Possession 58%-42%.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Independiente the favourite at 55.6% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Independiente

55.6%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

Independiente

Independiente

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

7

4

Possession

Independiente

Independiente

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

58%

42%

Shots on target

Independiente

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

4

4