Postmatch editorial

Ilves made the pre-match prices look right

The final score was Ilves 3-1 Differdange 03. The median bookmaker prices were already leaning toward that outcome.

Differdange 03 struck first through Sébastien Thill 45', but Ilves recovered and flipped the match.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Differdange 03 led Corners 0-2, even though the scoreboard went another way. Ilves also shaded Possession 60%-40%.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Ilves the favourite at 61.7% implied probability. That market lean landed.

Market check

Market result

Ilves

61.7%

Hit
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

Differdange 03

Ilves

Differdange 03

0

2

Possession

Ilves

Ilves

Differdange 03

60%

40%