Postmatch editorial

Ibiza Islas Pitiusas flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 3-1 Rayo Majadahonda. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Rayo Majadahonda struck first through Jorge Casado 55', but Ibiza Islas Pitiusas recovered and flipped the match.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Rayo Majadahonda led Total shots 3-11, even though the scoreboard went another way. Rayo Majadahonda also shaded Shots on target 3-5.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Rayo Majadahonda the favourite at 40.8% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Rayo Majadahonda

40.8%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Total shots

Rayo Majadahonda

Ibiza Islas Pitiusas

Rayo Majadahonda

3

11

Shots on target

Rayo Majadahonda

Ibiza Islas Pitiusas

Rayo Majadahonda

3

5

Corners

Rayo Majadahonda

Ibiza Islas Pitiusas

Rayo Majadahonda

3

7