Postmatch editorial

Holstein Kiel made the pre-match prices look right

The final score was Holstein Kiel 1-0 Ingolstadt. The median bookmaker prices were already leaning toward that outcome.

Alexander Mühling put the first mark on the match 39', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Ingolstadt led Shots on target 4-6, even though the scoreboard went another way. Holstein Kiel also shaded Corners 5-4.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Holstein Kiel the favourite at 58.5% implied probability. That market lean landed.

Market check

Market result

Holstein Kiel

58.5%

Hit
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Ingolstadt

Holstein Kiel

Ingolstadt

4

6

Corners

Holstein Kiel

Holstein Kiel

Ingolstadt

5

4

Possession

Holstein Kiel

Holstein Kiel

Ingolstadt

53%

47%