Postmatch editorial

HJK made the pre-match prices look right

The final score was HJK 1-0 Dečić. The median bookmaker prices were already leaning toward that outcome.

Lee Erwin put the first mark on the match 49', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Dečić led Shots on target 5-7, even though the scoreboard went another way. Dečić also shaded Corners 4-7.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made HJK the favourite at 62.3% implied probability. That market lean landed.

Market check

Market result

HJK

62.3%

Hit
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Dečić

HJK

Dečić

5

7

Corners

Dečić

HJK

Dečić

4

7

Possession

HJK

HJK

Dečić

57%

43%