Postmatch editorial

Hearts flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Hibernian 1-3 Hearts. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

James Wilson put the first mark on the match 13', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Hibernian led Total shots 17-12, even though the scoreboard went another way. Hearts also shaded Shots on target 4-5.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Hibernian the favourite at 43.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Hibernian

43.5%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Total shots

Hibernian

Hibernian

Hearts

17

12

Shots on target

Hearts

Hibernian

Hearts

4

5

Corners

Hearts

Hibernian

Hearts

7

8