Postmatch editorial

Werder Bremen upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Hertha BSC 2-4 Werder Bremen. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Marvin Ducksch put the first mark on the match 6', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Hertha BSC led Corners 8-4, even though the scoreboard went another way. Hertha BSC also shaded Shots on target 5-4.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Hertha BSC the favourite at 43.0% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Hertha BSC

43.0%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

Hertha BSC

Hertha BSC

Werder Bremen

8

4

Shots on target

Hertha BSC

Hertha BSC

Werder Bremen

5

4

Possession

Hertha BSC

Hertha BSC

Werder Bremen

54%

46%