Postmatch editorial
Hertha BSC upset the pre-match prices
The final score was Hertha BSC 2-1 VfB Stuttgart. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
Marc Oliver Kempf put the first mark on the match 29', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: VfB Stuttgart led Possession 30%-70%, even though the scoreboard went another way. VfB Stuttgart also shaded Total shots 7-14.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made VfB Stuttgart the favourite at 42.6% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
VfB Stuttgart
42.6%
Key stats
Match numbers
Possession
VfB StuttgartHertha BSC
VfB Stuttgart
30%
70%
Total shots
VfB StuttgartHertha BSC
VfB Stuttgart
7
14
Corners
VfB StuttgartHertha BSC
VfB Stuttgart
3
5