Postmatch editorial

Holstein Kiel upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Hertha BSC 0-1 Holstein Kiel. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Jonas Therkelsen put the first mark on the match 63', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Hertha BSC led Shots on target 3-1, even though the scoreboard went another way. Hertha BSC also shaded Total shots 22-6.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Hertha BSC the favourite at 57.1% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Hertha BSC

57.1%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Hertha BSC

Hertha BSC

Holstein Kiel

3

1

Total shots

Hertha BSC

Hertha BSC

Holstein Kiel

22

6

Corners

Hertha BSC

Hertha BSC

Holstein Kiel

5

3