Postmatch editorial
Hereford upset the pre-match prices
The final score was Hereford 1-0 Rochdale. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
The decisive turn arrived late when Ethan Freemantle scored 78' for Hereford.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Rochdale led Shots on target 1-5, even though the scoreboard went another way. Rochdale also shaded Total shots 4-8.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Rochdale the favourite at 48.9% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Rochdale
48.9%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
RochdaleHereford
Rochdale
1
5
Total shots
RochdaleHereford
Rochdale
4
8
Corners
HerefordHereford
Rochdale
4
2