Postmatch editorial
Hemel Hempstead Town flipped the prices on their head
The final score was Hereford 0-3 Hemel Hempstead Town. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
The decisive turn arrived late when George Williams scored 90+5' for Hemel Hempstead Town.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Hereford led Total shots 15-11, even though the scoreboard went another way. Hemel Hempstead Town also shaded Shots on target 4-5.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Hereford the favourite at 44.4% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Hereford
44.4%
Key stats
Match numbers
Total shots
HerefordHereford
Hemel Hempstead Town
15
11
Shots on target
Hemel Hempstead TownHereford
Hemel Hempstead Town
4
5
Possession
Hereford
Hemel Hempstead Town
50%
50%